538 Blog

Posts about 538 blog written by Chris Beaumont.

538 blog. Polls from firms that are banned by FiveThirtyEight are not shown. Testing 1 2 3. And of course weve got a lot more data including the latest public opinion polling on the crisis.

Nate Silvers FiveThirtyEight uses statistical analysis hard numbers to tell compelling stories about elections politics sports science economics and lifestyle. Joe Biden is favored to beat President Trump though Trump still has a 1-in-10. Polls conducted after June 28 2018 the date this page was published are listed by the date that FiveThirtyEight collected them.

Maggie Koerth Laura Bronner and Jasmine Mithani explain why its so freaking hard to make a good COVID-19 model. Airplay 538 A B en C-rotatie week 7 2021. Tracking Congress In The Age Of Trump An updating tally of how often every member of the House and the Senate votes with or against the president.

Nate Silvers FiveThirtyEight uses statistical analysis hard numbers to tell compelling stories about elections politics sports science economics and lifestyle. Nate Silver the NYTs boy genius of political polling and statistical computational matters has reset the betting line in his 538 blog and now makes Jerry Brown a 3-to-1 favorite to win the California governorship. Airplay 538 A B en C-rotatie week 8 2021.

On Politics Why Biden Is Tackling Immigration Now. This result is broadly consistent with what we should expect if Silvers model is correct. FiveThirtyEights 2020 NFL forecast uses an Elo-based model to calculate each teams chances of advancing to the playoffs and winning the Super Bowl.

Pollsters that did not release any horse-race polls within three weeks of an election since 1998 do not. FiveThirtyEight sometimes rendered as 538 is an American website that focuses on opinion poll analysis politics economics and sports blogging. Our 2020 forecasts presidential Senate House are all now officially frozen meaning we wont be ingesting any new polls or updating the odds in any race.